Will Mark Cuban be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Probability
3¢
1h
-1.7pp
24h
-2.6pp
24h Vol
$71.06
Liquidity
$36.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 3¢; -1.7pp in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
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Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 20088.6h
Price movement
-2.6pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: -9.0pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).
Show 8 hourly moves
- 23:00 · -4.2pp → 3¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -8.5pp → 7¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 10, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in theLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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