Will Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$23.50
Liquidity
$33.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.0pp 7dTimeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 20090.5h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 2d ago (to 7¢).
Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 7¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 Presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 10, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the first individual to be formally nominated by the Democratic Party for Vice President of the United States in theLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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