Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$588.83
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 9¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 15.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.3h
- 13:42SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:42PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 9¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01 Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (15.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).