Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?
Probability
14¢
1h
-11.8pp
24h
-1.1pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$585.02
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5989.7h
- 10:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5990h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.6pp
to 26¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 25¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 26¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.8pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.2pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.1pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.4pp
to 15¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.7pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.8pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.9pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 13¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.8pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01 Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (17.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).