Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
16¢
1h
-0.8pp
24h
-3.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$174.17
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 661.1h
- 10:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 661h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:54PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.8pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 18¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 17¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.4pp
to 13¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.3pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.4pp
to 15¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 38¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.7pp
to 19¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.3pp
to 15¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 16¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 18¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.9pp
to 18¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.1pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.8pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.8pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.3pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.7pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.9pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.6pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.8pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (20.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).