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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 1, 2026

Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$51.61

Liquidity

$174.73

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $175 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 147.4h

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -6.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -6.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -6.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -6.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -9.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 7.7pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 10.4pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 40.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.8pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.3pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaAmbiguous wording
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).