0x31cfd58816e65e383a670a374de7f48d8a6d95e0
0x31cfd58816e65e383a670a374de7f48d8a6d95e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$148.26
Total PnL
$45.77
Realised
$30.60
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$60.00
$0.42
- NO
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
35 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.79
$17.29
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
17 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.88
$1.45
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
8 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.16
$0.68
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.92
$-0.28
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 74.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$0.77
- NO
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.7¢·now 87.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.24
$0.10
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
5 shares @ 89.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.89
$0.40
- YES
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
25 shares @ 20.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.63
$-2.48
- YES
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
18 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-1.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.60Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$5.14Jun 7, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.78Jun 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.61Jun 1, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$5.54Jun 1, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$6.47Jun 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$2.54Jun 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$11.09Jun 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.14Jun 1, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.60Jun 1, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$4.79May 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.44May 19, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$7.20May 19, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$1.00May 19, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$4.68Apr 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$2.86Apr 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?$5.38Apr 28, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$10.64Apr 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.68Apr 25, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? $6.48Apr 25, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.