Ashamed-Hatchet
0x3f208ab1ee8f7f60839f76c35c4845cd64ae2615
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$647.67
Total PnL
$-5.90
Realised
$6.42
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
51 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.44
$0.44
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
54 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.35
$0.35
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.03
$0.03
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 90.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.73
$-1.27
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
47 shares @ 83.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.63
$5.63
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
31 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.51
$0.51
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
29 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
25 shares @ 80.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.65
$4.65
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.79
$0.79
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.60
$0.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$10.008h ago
- REDEEMWill Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$10.879h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$5.009h ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO before 2027?$1.039h ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$1.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?$5.029h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$5.009h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.0210h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.0210h ago
- REDEEMWill Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?$19.7914h ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.0520h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$0.6720h ago
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.4021h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?$0.841d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$1.001d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
