Popular-Author
0x4cfa655f561ef205ca2fb5731aa12fd8c6f8f368
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$85.49
Total PnL
$1.24
Realised
$-1.46
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
11 shares @ 24.0¢·now 42.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.66
$2.04
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$0.70
- YES
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 60.6¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.05
$0.99
- NO
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
41 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.04
$-0.61
- YES
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.60
$-0.30
- YES
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 6.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.48
$1.81
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$2.27
$-0.27
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$2.551d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$1.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Schlossberg be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$1.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?$1.671d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$2.901d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan Sage be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?$0.362d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$4.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.402d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Johnston be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.692d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?$0.212d ago
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.972d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$2.032d ago
- TRADESELLWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0.892d ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.472d ago
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.812d ago
- TRADESELLWill JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.092d ago
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.042d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.502d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$0.432d ago
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$0.492d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 7d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.