0x56f7e9c2762d9e84a30fadb7e3e0efc3ace0c043
0x56f7e9c2762d9e84a30fadb7e3e0efc3ace0c043
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$19.47
Total PnL
$-3.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.80
$1.80
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.2¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
88 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "SpaceX" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03Jun 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.80Jun 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00May 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.95May 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Gates charged by June 30?$1.04May 27, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?$1.00May 27, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?$1.04May 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by June 30?$1.04May 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$1.04May 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?$1.01May 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?$1.04May 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?$1.01May 27, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.04May 27, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$1.00May 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?$1.01May 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$1.03May 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?$1.02May 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$1.01May 27, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 27, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".