0x7ac2e8b5f8f5b77d2bebcacd3f4882b2bb36b483
0x7ac2e8b5f8f5b77d2bebcacd3f4882b2bb36b483
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$112.14
Total PnL
$-113.91
Realised
$-28.13
Win rate
27%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
22 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.84
$1.84
- YES
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
224 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$13.86
$-0.67
- NO
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$11.24
$2.25
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$9.82
$-0.12
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
47 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.81
$-1.14
- NO
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
103 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.72
$-7.72
- YES
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
96 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.93
$-9.50
- YES
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
127 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.21
$-10.04
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
82 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.53
$-2.36
- YES
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
43 shares @ 20.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$2.52
$-6.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$9.94May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$11.98May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$7.48May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$9.96May 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$7.35May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.69May 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$3.69May 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$9.20May 16, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.11May 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$12.17May 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.49May 16, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$13.09May 15, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.03May 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$1.44May 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.97May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$8.66May 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$11.56May 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$9.94May 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.94May 15, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".