Evergreen-Spray
0x7e7a8b6fca918f8be457e68336921877d6615323
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$146.25
Total PnL
$-4.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
49 shares @ 81.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.41
$2.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.38
$1.38
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$29.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.07
$2.07
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.96
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$9.862d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$15.003d ago
- TRADESELLAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$8.354d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$40.294d ago
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$5.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$15.004d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$7.914d ago
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$30.835d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.035d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$5.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.195d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$10.007d ago
- REDEEMChatGPT Outage by May 1?$0.007d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$30.009d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.839d ago
- TRADEBUYAnthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$6.5011d ago
- TRADEBUYChatGPT Outage by May 1?$6.2011d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $18.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
