Silver-Fort
0xcce844363969546e9a8587209ed50e29d1cedf43
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$51.12
Total PnL
$-95.89
Realised
$52.69
Win rate
76%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.31
$3.27
- NO
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.31
$2.46
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.29
$0.49
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$4.13
$1.11
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.74
$1.08
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.68
$0.68
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.57
$1.07
- NO
Another Elon baby by June 30?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.51
$1.30
- NO
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.17
$0.79
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.83
$0.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?$0.58Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$2.17Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?$4.53Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$7.49Mar 3, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?$6.92Mar 2, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$1.60Feb 27, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?$0.10Feb 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?$5.92Feb 24, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?$1.05Feb 22, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$0.03Feb 21, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$6.12Feb 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$0.08Feb 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$0.60Feb 21, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$0.76Feb 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?$3.25Feb 20, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$0.02Feb 19, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$4.08Feb 19, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?$8.12Feb 19, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$3.00Feb 19, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?$2.69Feb 19, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.