Ajar-Storey
0xd0c8eed6bbf0fdebc92775a58a6c05ad4649e944
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$55.05
Total PnL
$-1.27
Realised
$-6.89
Win rate
44%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.89
$2.09
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$4.87
$1.88
- YES
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 83.1¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$0.34
- NO
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$0.34
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.07
$0.28
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$2.97
$2.37
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.93
$0.17
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$1.16
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 57.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.57
$-0.35
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.41
$0.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2.98Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before GTA VI?$3.79Jul 10, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.29Jul 1, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.44Jul 1, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.48Jul 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$4.95Jul 1, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$5.01Jul 1, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.20Jul 1, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMJimmy Lai released by June 30?$2.06Jul 1, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$3.96Jul 1, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin not meet?$2.61Jul 1, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$4.72Jul 1, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$2.06Jul 1, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.32Jul 1, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.71Jul 1, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.14Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$4.63Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$4.73Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$4.05Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$1.91Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $3.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.