Muffled-Mesenchyme
0xd3a7215ef43cb2f195748cce0edfd3c8234ec2dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$168.06
Total PnL
$-18.81
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
20 shares @ 79.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$16.71
$0.56
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
22 shares @ 73.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.38
$0.23
- YES
Will Marvell Q1 Data Center revenue be above $1.7B?
12 shares @ 78.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$11.76
$2.26
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 69.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$9.03
$1.70
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.81
$1.38
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$8.46
$1.12
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$8.22
$0.87
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.49
$0.05
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.28
$-0.16
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
9 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.22
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$2.18May 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLZhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards$10.18May 16, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.94May 16, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$6.62May 16, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$2.15May 16, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$5.38May 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$2.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by May 31?$4.26May 16, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend NATO Summit?$2.00May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$2.60May 16, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$1.71May 16, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$2.02May 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.03May 15, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.94May 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.97May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.91May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.03May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$2.00May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.97May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$2.02May 15, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".