Red-Wildebeest
0xdfb071e30e79968ebb80c415ae3b7ce1fcf3d1dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$93.67
Total PnL
$-58.42
Realised
$1.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 74.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.32
$3.22
- NO
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.63
$0.63
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$0.41
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.87
$0.52
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.42
$1.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.17
$0.47
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$0.38
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.23
$-0.52
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5 shares @ 64.6¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.10
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$4.55May 16, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 16, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.00May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.75May 15, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.07May 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.05May 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.20May 15, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.00May 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.90May 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.75May 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.18May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.10May 14, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.65May 14, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.12May 14, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.91May 14, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.00May 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$3.15May 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.50May 13, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$4.38May 12, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".