Untrue-Variability
0xe77b0f75dad2da6addff45321ac04e4f95f44938
Quality score
91/100
Open positions
28
Open notional
$109.66
Total PnL
$10.34
Realised
$0.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
75 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$28.88
$-1.12
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42 shares @ 60.2¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.73
$0.73
- YES
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
77 shares @ 11.0¢·now 25.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.41
$10.97
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.49
$1.59
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.66
$2.66
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.78
$-0.08
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
46 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.40
$-0.51
- YES
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 38.9¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
9 shares @ 21.7¢·now 11.7¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$1.911d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$1.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?$2.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.003d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 143d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.