High-Jogging
0xf7a9208339d5e13d6cdad107588e2f964003fee3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
1722 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.7K
$706.02
- NO
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
964 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$964.00
$318.12
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
847 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$847.00
$127.90
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
730 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$730.00
$131.40
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
570 shares @ 64.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$521.55
$156.75
- NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES
Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
790 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$395.00
$0.00
- MIAMI MARLINS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
730 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$365.00
$7.30
- YES
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)
300 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$300.00
$60.00
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
268 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$268.00
$101.84
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
853 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.66
$-59.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$4.45Jun 16, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.57Jun 16, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by December 31?$681.06Jun 16, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$58.10Jun 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$6.21Apr 27, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$29.22Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$4.20Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$310.70Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies$395.00Apr 24, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$328.63Apr 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$354.00Apr 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$333.35Apr 24, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$46.74Apr 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$51.66Apr 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$55.76Apr 21, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$145.29Apr 21, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$172.26Apr 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$151.38Apr 21, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$126.36Apr 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$167.04Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $167.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.