Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+6.8pp
24h Vol
$1.62
Liquidity
$328.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 10¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:41SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
+6.8pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.
Biggest hourly move: +46.6pp at 09:00 (to 50¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:41 · +7.1pp → 10¢
- 17:00 · +28.0pp → 31¢
- 15:00 · +27.9pp → 31¢
- 14:00 · +27.9pp → 31¢
- 12:00 · +27.9pp → 31¢
- 11:00 · +43.8pp → 47¢
- 09:00 · +46.6pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · -18.9pp → 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusgol.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.