Will the match end in a draw?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.3pp
24h
-4.1pp
24h Vol
$4.6K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 176.0h
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 4¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 3¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 1¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 2¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premiershiprugby.com/
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).