Will Racing 92 win?
Probability
92¢
1h
+0.9pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$442.09
Liquidity
$122.83
Probability (last 7 days)
+43.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 92¢; +0.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.6h
- 13:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:23PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.9pp
to 92¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 93¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 92¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 91¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 92¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 91¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 91¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 92¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 93¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 94¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 93¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 93¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If Racing 92 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.lnr.fr/top-14
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).