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CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 26?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-1.7pp

24h Vol

$189.23

Liquidity

$10.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 23:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 25h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 25.2h

    HIGH
  • 14:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).