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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$5.4K

Liquidity

$23.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $23.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 74.5h

    LOW
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseOfficial government source
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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