Will Alex Warren have a #1 hit in April?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.6pp
24h Vol
$26.48
Liquidity
$4.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $4.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 102.8h
- 17:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- open.spotify.comSource not classifiedextracted · lowopen.spotify.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.