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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 30, 2026

Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-3.6pp

24h Vol

$87.50

Liquidity

$16.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5239h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5239.0h

    LOW
  • 16:57Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5239h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 3¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.4pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.6pp

    to 2¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.