Will Cagliari place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Probability
14¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-32.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$70.34
Probability (last 7 days)
-21.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 32pp over 24h
Now 14¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 27.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 851.4h
- 12:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.1pp
to 14¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.6pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.6pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.1pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.7pp
to 18¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.7pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.3pp
to 21¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.9pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.1pp
to 23¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 25¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 45¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 47¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 47¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 46¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 48¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 41¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (27.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).