SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Genoa place 17th for the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Probability

9¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

-29.3pp

24h Vol

$53.01

Liquidity

$296.93

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 29pp over 24h

    Now 9¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 16.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 846.2h

    LOW
  • 17:49Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-28.9pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.

Biggest hourly move: -39.8pp at 12:00 (to 8¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -37.0pp → 10¢
  • 15:00 · -38.9pp → 9¢
  • 14:00 · -35.8pp → 10¢
  • 12:00 · -39.8pp → 8¢
  • 11:00 · -38.3pp → 9¢
  • 09:00 · -36.6pp → 10¢
  • 08:00 · -37.1pp → 10¢
  • 06:00 · -8.6pp → 2¢
  • 05:00 · -6.9pp → 4¢
  • 03:00 · -4.4pp → 6¢
  • 02:00 · -3.5pp → 7¢
  • 01:00 · -3.9pp → 7¢
  • 21:00 · +32.3pp → 43¢
  • 20:00 · +34.0pp → 44¢
  • 18:00 · +27.1pp → 38¢
  • 1d ago · +30.2pp → 41¢
  • 1d ago · +33.7pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +31.6pp → 42¢
  • 1d ago · +33.4pp → 44¢
  • 1d ago · +35.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +35.6pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +36.5pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · +37.1pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · +36.1pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +36.1pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +27.5pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · +19.5pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +22.0pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -9.5pp → 38¢
  • 2d ago · +25.5pp → 36¢
  • 2d ago · +36.0pp → 47¢
  • 2d ago · +27.0pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventSerie A: 17th Place (Relegation Survivor)
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 Serie A (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (16.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

7 wallets
Open on Polymarket