Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 in April?
Probability
12¢
1h
-3.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$919.67
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 12¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 130h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 130.5h
- 17:32SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 130h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 08:00 (to 6¢).
Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -3.5pp → 12¢
- 09:00 · -6.5pp → 6¢
- 08:00 · -10.0pp → 6¢
- 06:00 · -3.5pp → 7¢
- 05:00 · -4.0pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 15¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 15¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 10¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 16¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.COIN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Coinbase (exchange price)Exchange pricepythdata.app
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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