Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+39.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 42¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 679h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 76.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 679.2h
- 16:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 679h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 42¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.6pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.3pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.3pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.3pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.2pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- nba.comOfficial sports resultextracted · highnba.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (76.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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