Will Oscar Diaz be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Probability
3¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.6pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$119.59
Probability (last 7 days)
-31.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $120 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 14:25SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.4pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.6pp
to 3¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.1pp
to 2¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.4pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.8pp
to 3¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.8pp
to 3¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 2¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.6pp
to 3¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.9pp
to 3¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.3pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.8pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.8pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.3pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.7pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.7pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.4pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.4pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.6pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 49¢-0.5pp
Will Sherry Cardoso be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+5.5pp
Will Brandon Dearden be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢-0.5pp
Will Jonathan Dearden be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢0.0pp
Will Duyen Ha be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will Jennifer Lee Jackson be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 48¢0.0pp
Will Anthony Jones be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 12¢0.0pp
Will Laurence Louie be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 55¢-27.9pp
Will Justin Tootla be eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 this week?
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed contestant is eliminated from Top Chef: Season 23 during the episode scheduled to release April 20, 2026 9:30PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" If the relevant episode of Top Chef is not aired by the date of this show's next scheduled release, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Evacuations, medical disqualifications, or voluntary or involuntary forfeitures not as a result of formal elimination will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the relevant episode of Top Chef.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 20, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).