Will PARIVISION win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-26.4pp
24h Vol
$989.45
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-32.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 0¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $3.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 10h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 10 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.4h
- 13:37SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:37PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.3pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.4pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.4pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 14¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 24¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 24¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Wallachia Season 8 tournament, currently scheduled for April 16th - April 26th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 3rd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (pglesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/PGL/Wallachia/8) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).