Will Palantir reach $162 in April?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-34.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$540.21
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 35pp over 24h
Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 133.5h
- 14:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 133h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 11¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 11¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 11¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.0pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -49.5pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -48.0pp
to 11¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 11¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.0pp
to 11¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 11¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 11¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 15¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).