Will Shinya Iino (Takopi's Original Sin) win Best Director at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
17¢
1h
-9.5pp
24h
-17.5pp
24h Vol
$16.20
Liquidity
$114.49
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 18pp over 24h
Now 17¢; -9.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 651h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 651.0h
- 20:58SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 651h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 16¢.
Biggest hourly move: -36.0pp at 12:00 (to 11¢).
Show all 34 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +12.0pp → 27¢
- 19:00 · +15.5pp → 30¢
- 17:00 · +22.0pp → 37¢
- 15:00 · -32.5pp → 10¢
- 14:00 · -18.5pp → 10¢
- 12:00 · -36.0pp → 11¢
- 11:00 · -7.0pp → 10¢
- 09:00 · -21.5pp → 10¢
- 08:00 · -3.0pp → 19¢
- 06:00 · -14.5pp → 12¢
- 05:00 · -30.0pp → 14¢
- 03:00 · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 14¢
- 00:00 · -27.0pp → 14¢
- 23:00 · -7.0pp → 14¢
- 21:00 · +12.0pp → 29¢
- 1d ago · -13.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -10.5pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -21.0pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -29.5pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · +12.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 23¢
- 2d ago · +18.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · +28.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · +27.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +16.0pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual that wins the award for Best Director at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.