Will Trump dance today?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Wide spread — 11.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

3. 3

   Expiry in 7h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.