Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?
Probability
25¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$12.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5991.3h
- 08:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5991h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 24¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 26¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 22¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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