Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?
Probability
27¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$10.27
Liquidity
$77.98
Probability (last 7 days)
-21.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 13.8h
- 10:13SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:12PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 27¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 24¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 18¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 18¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 18¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 20¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 19¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 18¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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