Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?
Probability
14¢
1h
-15.5pp
24h
-7.0pp
24h Vol
$885.45
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-10.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 14¢; -15.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 134h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 134.4h
- 13:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 134h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:35PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 13¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 30¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 30¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 11¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 11¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 10¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 30¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 18¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 18¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 18¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 19¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 19¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).