Elderly-Cupola
0x0d5ee5c536ccd78d179487b3d7e43ae4304d5c24
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$13.56
Realised
$113.21
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
491 shares @ 72.2¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$270.12
$-84.38
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
189 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$179.25
$13.01
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
90 shares @ 97.2¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.58
$-0.94
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
82 shares @ 74.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.14
$0.75
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
50 shares @ 86.4¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.30
$2.10
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
63 shares @ 45.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.85
$1.57
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
95 shares @ 29.2¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.66
$1.82
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
44 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$27.72
$0.67
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
28 shares @ 88.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.43
$3.21
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
44 shares @ 39.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.66
$2.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$11.47May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$13.48May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$18.96May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$50.00May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$4.99May 18, 03:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.97May 17, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$13.66May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$18.97May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$4.70May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$9.09May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$9.03May 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.94May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$0.60May 17, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?$1.75May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$27.81May 16, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$50.00May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$35.90May 16, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$49.53May 16, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".