Impossible-Reject
0x420e8deb590ad77ff5b2f6776cea2b1fc6dee3c9
Quality score
86/100
Open positions
56
Open notional
$14.0K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$208.96
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
2515 shares @ 75.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.2K
$299.22
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
2693 shares @ 71.5¢·now 64.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.7K
$-201.70
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1869 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-10.22
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3049 shares @ 18.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$852.12
$295.35
- NO
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
940 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$841.42
$27.33
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
764 shares @ 62.2¢·now 80.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$614.23
$138.85
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 88.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$483.50
$40.50
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 86.1¢·now 83.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$415.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
515 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$388.97
$-2.71
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
370 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$358.71
$-5.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.531h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$50.731h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$85.512h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$19.6910h ago
- REDEEMWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$19.6910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$19.3214h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$5.3317h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$5.8117h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$8.1817h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.3017h ago
- YIELD$0.0918h ago
- REWARD$3.2118h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$19.7023h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$19.3623h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.5623h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.9523h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.0023h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.0623h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$186.1923h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $71.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.