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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?

Probability

14¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$1.6K

Liquidity

$15.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 111.4h

    LOW
  • 08:37Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

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