Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$1.6K
Liquidity
$15.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 111.4h
- 08:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 12¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).