Darling-Jazz
0x9dc599efa9558745463ee8cdbbb9fbf2d9ef89a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$125.23
Total PnL
$-21.28
Realised
$-0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
24 shares @ 24.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$16.93
$10.93
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 31.9¢·now 72.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.30
$6.91
- NO
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
19 shares @ 32.4¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.99
$3.99
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
73 shares @ 8.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.21
$2.21
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 51.5¢·now 57.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.72
$0.72
- NO
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
62 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.96
$-0.04
- NO
Blue wave in 2026?
22 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$5.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.40
$1.80
- NO
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 41.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jul 24, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?$3.23Jul 24, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?$5.16Jul 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?$3.07Jul 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$3.11Jul 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$3.07Jul 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?$3.00Jul 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$2.85Jul 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?$3.07Jul 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$3.14Jul 24, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?$3.00Jul 24, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$3.12Jul 24, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2.79Jul 20, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$2.79Jul 20, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?$0.18Jul 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?$2.64Jul 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?$3.07Jul 15, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?$3.08Jul 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione tried before 2027?$3.11Jul 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$6.47Jul 7, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.