0xa23937d11055ab563d4b5793683c13e1e72cdbb0
0xa23937d11055ab563d4b5793683c13e1e72cdbb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$28.40
Total PnL
$-14.02
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.82
$0.38
- NO
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.96
$-0.14
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
6 shares @ 61.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.74
$-0.18
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.63
$0.13
- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.60
$-0.02
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.59
$-3.29
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.59
$0.04
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.56
$0.06
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.62May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.70May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.68May 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.74May 17, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.42May 16, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$2.47May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$2.37May 2, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.43May 1, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.34May 1, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$1.67May 1, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$0.78May 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.77May 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$0.78May 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.06May 1, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.55May 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.58May 1, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.63Apr 29, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.52Apr 29, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?$4.11Apr 29, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.53Apr 29, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".