Unacceptable-Almanac
0xa8a79c606ca4a3dba53c3a91048cae88347792d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$154.94
Total PnL
$4.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
81 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$74.48
$4.48
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.40
$1.40
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.24
$-0.76
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.10
$3.10
- YES
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$1.70
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.84
$0.84
- NO
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.70
$0.70
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.65
$-0.35
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$70.39May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.09May 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$5.03May 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$5.03May 14, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 14, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$0.00May 14, 12:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMThe Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMThe Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office$0.00May 9, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.19May 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.19May 9, 10:43 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $19.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 12:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".