Popular-Parent
0xbd2a0ff90582448ae319ce12bb27a9d44117db9a
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$61.30
Total PnL
$-3.51
Realised
$0.81
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.23
$0.05
- YES
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
32 shares @ 18.8¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$-0.42
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.35
$0.32
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.61
$0.46
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.44
$0.23
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$-1.19
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.71
$-1.31
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 16.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.12
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
3 shares @ 25.8¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.80
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$1.3030d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$0.5034d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$1.1335d ago
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?$2.2637d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.9937d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.0237d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$1.0237d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$0.9637d ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?$0.9737d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$0.8438d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.1638d ago
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.2038d ago
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$0.0338d ago
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.2438d ago
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.1838d ago
- TRADEBUYFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$1.1638d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.8338d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1.5038d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$0.1838d ago
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.4938d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 39d ago
- Last active
- 30d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.