Tart-Sting
0xce5555e13158a782baa85771c4de788486c2c888
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$519.74
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$139.13
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
191 shares @ 64.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$169.02
$46.79
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
581 shares @ 34.2¢·now 22.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$131.60
$-67.11
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
88 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$88.00
$0.18
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
60 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$60.00
$15.00
- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
42 shares @ 86.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$27.74
$-8.59
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
32 shares @ 60.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.08
$6.88
- YES
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
17 shares @ 34.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 18, 2026$14.37
$8.59
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
16 shares @ 34.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.68
$-3.76
- YES
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 63.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-0.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
1197 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-622.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$193.92Jun 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$7.38Apr 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$60.68Apr 27, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$576.46Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$246.82Apr 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$435.34Apr 27, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$728.29Apr 24, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$150.51Apr 21, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$318.42Apr 21, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$415.00Apr 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$11.31Apr 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$171.39Apr 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?$163.59Apr 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$48.14Apr 12, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$19.14Apr 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$22.14Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$58.59Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$23.22Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$18.90Apr 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$4.64Apr 12, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $203.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.