Probable-Serial
0xd6f528abe446337922ef997233211d7a0d13d7aa
Quality score
82/100
Open positions
35
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-723.85
Realised
$-102.58
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- OVER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5
712 shares @ 45.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$712.00
$390.89
- YES
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
892 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$686.84
$8.92
- YES
Will US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?
553 shares @ 28.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$553.00
$397.61
- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
987 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$399.74
$64.15
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
687 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.40
$0.00
- OPENAI
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
694 shares @ 27.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$121.45
$-67.32
- YES
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
268 shares @ 24.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.24
$-16.08
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$27.52
$-22.36
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 24.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$19.80
$2.52
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.63
$2.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$677.922d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$49.882d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$106.424d ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.934d ago
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$638.824d ago
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$8.214d ago
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$975.784d ago
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$1.2512d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$73.8712d ago
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$189.5212d ago
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$170.2412d ago
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$503.8612d ago
- TRADESELLWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$28.3212d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$636.0912d ago
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$14.9812d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$185.4012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$276.6412d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$608.1312d ago
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$747.9712d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$532.1812d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $374.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.