Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Probability
28¢
1h
+2.6pp
24h
+27.0pp
24h Vol
$40.53
Liquidity
$32.61
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 27pp over 24h
Now 28¢; +2.6pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 142h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 54.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 142.1h
- 17:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 142h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+26.7pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Biggest hourly move: +44.5pp at 1d ago (to 50¢).
Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +21.7pp → 27¢
- 16:00 · +15.9pp → 22¢
- 15:00 · +22.8pp → 28¢
- 13:00 · -5.1pp → 0¢
- 12:00 · -8.0pp → 0¢
- 10:00 · -5.7pp → 0¢
- 09:00 · -9.8pp → 0¢
- 08:00 · -14.5pp → 0¢
- 06:00 · -17.7pp → 0¢
- 05:00 · -20.0pp → 0¢
- 03:00 · -26.5pp → 0¢
- 02:00 · -20.3pp → 0¢
- 00:00 · -21.4pp → 0¢
- 22:00 · -23.2pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -20.6pp → 1¢
- 18:00 · -3.4pp → 1¢
- 1d ago · +23.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · +44.5pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · -8.4pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -9.2pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -11.9pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -17.2pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -37.5pp → 0¢
- 1d ago · -39.3pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -37.5pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -38.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -39.7pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -40.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -37.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -25.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · +6.3pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-40.8pp
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $32.73
- 0¢-1.4pp
Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $42.42
- 8¢-37.5pp
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $70.63
- 44¢+1.5pp
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $9.43
- 34¢-15.5pp
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢-21.1pp
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $4.43
- 1¢+0.5pp
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $46.54
- 16¢+12.8pp
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Other · Vol $52.98
- 98¢+20.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 92¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $492.3K
- 0¢-1.5pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $475.9K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $473.7K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $370.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @cz_binanceSocial media postx.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (54.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.