First Blood in Game 1?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-50.4pp
24h Vol
$703.63
Liquidity
$241.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 50pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.7h
- 20:17SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-50.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -52.0pp at 20:00 (to 0¢).
Show all 14 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -52.0pp → 0¢
- 19:00 · -51.5pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · -44.0pp → 7¢
- 16:00 · -12.4pp → 39¢
- 14:00 · +22.0pp → 73¢
- 12:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 11:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 09:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 08:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 06:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 03:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
- 01:00 · -4.5pp → 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-24.9pp
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+65.0pp
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $380.5K
- 0¢-25.9pp
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $402.1K
- 100¢+60.0pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $13.0K
- 0¢-50.0pp
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)
Other · Vol $77.8K
- 100¢+87.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $5.58
- 100¢+25.9pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $105.57
- 0¢-11.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $5.58
- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.3M
- 100¢+40.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 82¢+4.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $2.3M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 35¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.5M
Market Description
In the upcoming match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.