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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Probability

51¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$1.08

Liquidity

$0.06

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 99.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.3h

    HIGH
  • 16:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets