Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Probability
99¢
1h
+48.9pp
24h
+87.0pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$15.71
Probability (last 7 days)
+50.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.8h
- 08:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 79.0pp
to 99¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 13¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 15¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).