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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Probability

99¢

1h

+48.9pp

24h

+87.0pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$15.71

Probability (last 7 days)

+50.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 11:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.8h

    HIGH
  • 08:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 79.0pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -37.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -38.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -38.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -36.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

3 wallets